NFL Week 9: How to Bet the Cowboys/Browns Game
Dallas Cowboys at Cleveland Browns
The Cowboys are tied with the Patriots for the best record in football with one loss each and the Browns are yet to win a game. The Cowboys are 85% against the spread this season and 100% in their last six games. This game is the 2nd most bet football game this weekend and I know you want to take the Cowboys. Here’s why you shouldn’t.
70% of the public money is currently on Dallas against the spread. There has been virtually no line movement and if anything, the line has moved against the Browns. Any time you see a game where the public money is grossly outside the 50/50 range on the spread betting, you should be suspicious. In games with a small betting pool you can chalk it up to Vegas not caring because there’s not enough money invested for them to set a trap. However, this is the second most public NFL game of the weekend. Vegas is allowing and encouraging the public to bet the Cowboys because Vegas thinks the Cowboys are going to lose and Vegas is almost never wrong. For more evidence, look to the money line betting. Currently 87% of the public money is, again, on the cowboys. The line opened at -315 and had just over 80% of the public. Since then, Vegas has lowered the line 3 times all the way to -270 which has drawn in the extra 7%. Vegas is setting a trap and I want no part of it and neither should you.
So, here’s Z-Code’s advice: if you’re a die-hard Cowboys fan, don’t bet the game; if you’re a shark, monitor the line movement and if it follows this trend into Sunday morning, bet the Browns.
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