ZCode Totals Predictor – How to win Game Totals? Over 5. Under 5.5

The Totals Predictor is a unique tool developed based on Jonathan Ma ideas. Here is how it works. For every team we are building 2 lines.

http://zcodesystem.com/totals_predictor/?team1=NY%20Islanders&team2=Boston

The blue line is the Over/Under line. We assigned a value of 1 for the Overs and a value of -1 for the Unders. For the purpose of this prediction tool, over/unders are based on 5.5. Any game with a push on 5 is considered an under for 5.5.

The red line is the differential between the over/under based on the last 10 games. Examples: A 6-4 in favor of over would be +2. A 3-7 in favor of under would be -4.
Next step is to compare the lines and see the repeated patterns. For example if you see both teams are trending up on the red line this means they score much more goals than usual and the game will probably go Over 5.5!

Early summary: NHL Picks and Hockey Predictions for Saturday, January 7th

January 7 early summary.
What a day! So much action. Most games are 1.55 odd or worse which gives us hard time to find any value in taking sides.

Warning: EARLY GAMES TODAY!!!

Sharks game is not ready yet.

Zcode Trends (check back later for updates):

5 Star Road dogs:
3* Winnipeg Jets ML
1* Winnipeg Jets -1 spread
1* Team Total over 2.5

Tampa: maybe lets take Canadians Team total over 2.5 instead of tampa here.
(check later after input of our experts like Robert)
5* Canadians Team total over 2.5

Home Game winners:
3* Dallas Stars 4 stars -1 spread and no moneyline (odd is too low)
3* Dallas Team Total over 2.5 instead of moneyline bet

Fun bet ideas and I rated them with start confidence units:

3* Isles@Coyotes: Under 5.5  (Two weakest offenses in NHL)

3* COL @ Blues: Under 5.5
2* COL + 1 Spread

2* New Jersey Devils Moneyline
1* New Jersey Devils -1 spread

3* Canadians Team Total Over 2.5

2* Toronto Over 5.5
2* Detroit Team total over 2.5

4* Columbus Under 5.5
2* Columbus+1 Spread (Why not? LA can’t score, Columbus CAN and the odd for LA is ridicilously low)

3* Flyers Over 5.5
2* Flyers Team total over 2.5
2* Flyers-1 Spread

2* Bruins-1 Spread
2* Bruins Total Over 5.5

2* WILD Team total under 2.5

+ maybe something on sharks later.

(my favorite hockey gif “wrong dude” :) for the good mood today!

Starting fresh in 2012? NHL Hockey Picks and Predictions for Thursday, January 5th

NHL Hockey Picks and Predictions for Thursday, January 5th: Chicago Blackhawks at Philadelphia Flyers, Winnipeg Jets at Toronto Maple Leafs, Florida Panthers at New York Rangers, Flames at Bruins, Oilers at Blues, Coyotes at Kings, Blue Jackets at Sharks

Starting fresh in 2012?

Magic score 3-7 ? I was thinking a lot why road dogs (Jets and Tampa) got blown away 2 times in a row especially with such a big and similar score ? What’s different about those games?

Here is what was different. In both cases it was
1) FIRST GAME in 2012 for a home team
2) Home team stuck in a long dead losing streak and needed to break-through.

Why did they win? The motivation to start the fresh 2012 with a win at home in front of supporting fans was overwhelming. Lesson for future: Don’t bet against home team on the first games in 2013. These things can really make a difference.

What about Hawks today?
1) It’s not a first game in 2012 for any of the teams
2) Flyers don’t have a long losing streak.

Why Hawks can win today?
1. Emery is much better goalie than both Flyers goalies all together especially if struggling Bryzgalov takes the net after Bobrovsky took the Winter Classic
2. Jaromir Jagr is injured.

Why Flyers can win today?
1. They are a great team and they don’t usually get into long losing streaks
2. They are playing home and Hawks are unstable and frustrated (could not win over Oilers in the last game)

Idea: go Chicago ML, Chicago-1 Spread and CHI Team Total Over 2.5