Miami Dolphins versus Atlanta Falcons
The Falcons come in at 3-1 and a huge 11-point favorite over the 2-2 Dolphins. The last meeting between the teams was in 2013 when the Dolphins won as a home favorite. This game looks overwhelmingly in favor of Atlanta. They hold a +31 to +6 advantage on the Power Ranking Indicator. Similarly, the Falcons are “burning hot” on the Team Strength Oscillator compared to “ice cold down” for the Dolphins. Miami could cover if they play an excellent game, but look for the Falcons to win at home and improve to 4-1 on the season.
Detroit Lions versus New Orleans Saints
The Lions are coming off a tough loss at home to the Carolina Panthers. Sitting at 3-2, they take on the 2-2 Saints, who are a 4.5 point favorite. Detroit has won the last two meetings in 2016 and 2015 as road underdogs. The Saints are in the top ten in Team Volatility, which makes their favorite status a big more meaningful. The teams are nearly even on the Team Strength Oscillator, while the Lions hold a huge +22 to +8 edge in the Power Ranking Indicator. The Lions are the better team and despite the Saints being favorites, I expect Detroit to win their third straight against the Saints as road underdogs.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers versus Arizona Cardinals
The Cardinals come in at 2-3 after a 34-7 blowout loss to the Philadelphia Eagles last week. They are a 2.5 point underdog against the 2-2 Buccaneers. The Cardinals won as a home favorite in their last meeting in 2016. The teams are nearly identical according to the Team Strength Oscillator and Power Ranking Indicator. Tampa Bay is fourth in the NFL in Team Volatility, meaning they generally win as favorites and lose as underdogs. This it the deciding factor in a close match up. Take the Buccaneers to win as the road underdog to improve to 3-2 on the season.
Pittsburgh Steelers versus Kansas City Chiefs
The 3-2 Steelers head to Kansas City to take on the unbeaten Chiefs, who are a 4 point favorite. The Chiefs are tied for first in Team Volatility, meaning they are probably an excellent bet this week as a favorite. The Chiefs are +5.23 and “burning hot” on the Team Strength Oscillator versus +2.87 and “average” status for the Steelers. Similarly, the Chiefs hold a +31 to +23 edge on the Power Ranking Indicator. The Steelers won both meetings between the teams last season. Although the Chiefs are bound to lose at some point, it wont be this week.
Green Bay Packers versus Minnesota Vikings
In this classic NFC Central match up, the 4-1 Packers take on the 3-2 Vikings. The teams split last year’s meeting, each winning at home. Green bay is “hot” and +3.4 on the Team Strength Oscillator versus -0.85 for the Vikings. A significant advantage to the Packers is seen on the Power Ranking Indicator, +27 to +13. The final piece of information leaning me towards the Packers is they are in the top ten in Team Volatility. As a 3.5 point road favorite, look for the Packers to take down the Vikings and move to 5-1.
San Francisco 49ers versus Washington Redskins
The 49ers come in as perhaps the worst team in the NFL at 0-5. They are a 9.5 point underdog against the 2-2 Washington Redskins. The 49ers won last meeting between the teams in 2014 as home favorite, but this is clearly a different team. They are -4.65 with a “dead” status no the Team Strength Oscillator and 0 on the Power Ranking Indicator. The Redskins aren’t a super powerhouse team, but plenty good enough to defeat the 49ers this week.
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