The Major League Baseball season is under way! Check out some of the action in store for this weekend, March 30 through April 1.
Note that all information from the oscillators are for games played through the end of last season.
New York Yankees versus Toronto Blue Jays
The Yankees enter the series against the Blue Jays with a +25 to +12 edge on the Power Ranking Indicator. Both teams were trending on a negative path, at “average down” on the Team Strength Oscillator. Friday’s game features Masahiro Tanaka versus Aaron Sanchez. Tanaka is a better bet according to the Pitcher Profit Oscillator at +1512 to +307. Saturday’s game sees CC Sabathia on the mound for the Yankees versus Marco Estrada. Both pitchers are positive on the profit oscillator, although Estrada has been a better bet at +654 to +302. The series finale features two pitchers who have not been profitable. Marcus Stroman is -568, while Sonny Gray is even worse for the Yankees at -1409. I would avoid betting that game. As a whole, the Yankees should be able to take two out of three in this weekend series.
Chicago Cubs versus Miami Marlins
The Cubs enter the season at +24 on the Power Ranking Indicator compared to +18 for the Marlins. Miami was “burning hot” at the end of 2017 and will be interesting to see if they can keep the momentum going. The Cubs, on the other hand, were “ice cold down” , so the start of the new season could be just what they needed. The first game features Kyle Hendricks versus Dan Straily, who have nearly identical positive numbers on the Pitcher Profit Oscillator. At this time the Marlins are undecided for who will pitch the next two games. However, both Yu Darvish and Jose Quintana (scheduled for the Cubs), have been bad bets at -1183 and -627. I would pick the Cubs in the first game and be weary of the next two, possibly going with Miami depending on who they decided to start on the mound.
Boston Red Sox versus Tampa Bay Rays
The two teams finished nearly identical (+25 to +20 in favor of Boston) on the Power Ranking Indicator. However the teams were heading in opposite directions, “burning hot” for the Rays versus “ice cold up” for the Red Sox. David Price is scheduled for Friday versus Blake Snell. Although both negative of the Pitcher Profit Oscillator, Price is the better option. Tampa Bay is undecided for Saturday, while Rick Porcello, who has been a good bet at +729, will take the ball for the Red Sox. The finale features Brian Johnson for Boston versus Nathan Eovaldi for the Rays. Eovaldi did not pitch last season and was -414 on the Pitcher Profit Oscillator at the end of 2016. Johnson is the better bet at +298. While Tampa Bay is at home, the favorites in each game should be the Red Sox. I would think a sweep is possible, but see a 2-1 series win for Boston as likely.
San Francisco Giants versus Los Angeles Dodgers
The Dodgers are coming off a World Series defeat, but hold a huge +27 to +1 advantage on the Power Ranking Indicator. Although ending the season with just an “average” status, the Giants were just “ice cold down”. Being home favorites makes picking the Dodgers even more likely, considering they were first in Team Volatility last season. Interestingly enough, in the first two games, the Giants pitchers are more profitable than the Dodgers. Johnny Cueto (+506) and Derek Holland (+1027) have been much better bets than Alex Wood (-1174) and Kenta Maeda (-590). The Giants are undecided for Sunday’s game, while Rich Hill (+433 on the Pitcher Profit Oscillator) goes for the Dodgers. The Dodgers should find a way to win at least two of three this weekend.
Milwaukee Brewers versus San Diego Padres
The Brewers ended 2017 “average down” on the Team Strength Oscillator and +15 on the Power Ranking Indicator. San Diego was even worse at +4 and “dead up”. So what is in store for this weekend’s two games? Jhoulys Chacin takes the ball for the Brewers in the first one, while the Padres are undecided. Chacin has been been a relatively poor bet, coming in at -626 on the Pitcher Profit Oscillator, so the first game is likely not a good one to bet. The second game features Brent Suter for the Brewers versus Luis Perdomo for the Padres. Both have been profitable, but Pedromo is +427 versus +109 and the Padres have some advantage playing at home. San Diego could win the series outright, but a split is most likely.
Houston Astros versus Texas Rangers
Coming off a World Series win, the Astros are a strong +28 on the Power Ranking Indicator. The Rangers are “average up” on the Team Strength Oscillator and +14, heading in the right direction. Dallas Keuchel takes the ball on Friday versus Doug Fister. Keuchel is a much better bet at +1159 to -170, so big advantage to the Astros in the first game. Saturday’s game features Lance McCullers Jr versus Matt Moore. McCullers has been slightly unprofitable at -89, but still a better bet than Moore at -584. In the finale, a big advantage goes to the Astros with Gerrit Cole on the mound versus Mike Minor. The Rangers at home should put up enough of a fight to avoid a sweep, but Houston should win two of three.
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