MLB Predictions August 16-18: Several key games highlight weekend action

The final quarter of the MLB season is upon us and the pennant races are heating up. First-place teams battle in both leagues with the Yankees/Indians and Dodgers/Braves headlining weekend play.

Cleveland Indians versus New York Yankees

AL Central leading Indians head to New York to take on the AL East leading Yankees . The Yankees come in “average up” versus “burning hot” and the Indians hold a +27 to +25 edge on the Power Ranking Indicator. Both teams have been quite stable according to the Team Volatility Oscillator, so consider their favorite/underdog status before betting. The teams are trending on opposite sides of the line on the Totals Predictor, but there is a slight lean to better the “under”. Of the scheduled starting pitchers for Cleveland, Zach Plesac is the more profitable bet at +683 on the Pitcher Profit Oscillator, while Domingo German is at +768 for the Yankees. This is a battle that could go either way, but give a slight edge to the Yankees at home for a series win.

Los Angeles Dodgers versus Atlanta Braves

The top two teams in the NL face off in this weekend series. The Dodgers are “burning hot”, having won eight of their last ten. The Braves are “average up” having gone 5-5 over their last ten. Los Angeles holds a +28 to +20 advantage on the Power Ranking Indicator.  The Dodgers are also among the most stable teams in the league at +38 on the Team Volatility Oscillator. Best to avoid the over/under in this series as the teams are trending on opposite sides of the line. Clayton Kershaw and Hyun-Jin Ryu are excellent bets for the Dodgers this weekend, while Mike Soroka for the Braves has a nearly +2000 advantage of Kenta Maeda in Friday’s game. Look for the Dodgers to earn a road series win, two games to one.

San Diego Padres versus Philadelphia Phillies

Two fourth-place teams square off in Philadelphia as the Phillies take on the Padres. San Diego is “average” on the Team Strength Oscillator having won five of their last ten. They hold a +10 to +9 edge on the Power Ranking Indicator over an “ice cold down” Phillies team that is 3-7 over their last ten. Philadelphia has been a much more stable team, consistently performing as their favorite/underdog status indicates. Jason Vargas is the most profitable of the Phillies pitchers this weekend at +1831, while his counterpart Joey Lucchesi is the worst at -933. Look for the Phillies to take care of home field and get back on track with a series win.

Houston Astros versus Oakland A’s

In this AL West battle, the first-place Astros head to Oakland to face the second-place A’s. The Astors are “burning hot down” with an 8-2 mark over their last ten. They have a +29 to +21 edge on the Power Ranking Indicator. Oakland is 6-4 over their last ten and “average” status. The Astros are extremely consistently performing according to their favorite/underdog status. If considering the over/under, the Totals Predictor is leaning towards the under. Zach Greinke and Gerrit Cole are extremely profitable and solid bets for the Astros  this weekend. The A’s should give the Astros a strong battle, but expect Houston to take two of three games on the road to widen their divisional lead.

San Francisco Giants versus Arizona Diamondbacks

Two NL West teams battle to stay in wild card contention. The Giants are 4-6 over their last ten game and “ice cold up” on the Team Strength Oscillator. The Diamondbacks are 6-4 over their last ten and “average down” status. Arizona holds a slim edge of +14 to +12 on the Power Ranking Indicator. Best to avoid the “over/under” in this series since the teams are playing in games trending on opposite sides of the line. The worst bet for the weekend is the Giants on Friday as scheduled starter Jeff Samardzija is -3761 on the Pitcher Profit Oscillator.  Arizona is under .500 at home and the Giants are above .500 on the road. I expect a road series win, two game to one, for the Giants.

 

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