Three weeks into the MLB season and there’s been lots of great action around the league. Let’s look at some of the good match ups for April 20 through 22.
Note that all information from the site is for games played through Monday, April 16.
Pittsburgh Pirates versus Philadelphia Phillies
In this state rivalry, both teams come in “burning hot” on the Team Strength Oscillator. The Phillies have won six of their last seven and are +28 on the Power Ranking Indicator, slightly ahead of the Pirates at +23. Pittsburgh is tied for tenth in Team Volatility. On the mound, the Pirates go with Ivan Nova on Friday versus Ben Lively for the Phillies. Both have been on the positive side on the Pitcher Profit Oscillator, with Nova holding a slight edge. Aaron Nola goes for the Phillies on Saturday and while he’s been excellent, it hasn’t translated into wins and therefore is at -369 on the Pitcher Profit Oscillator. Steven Brault takes the ball for the Pirates on Saturday and has been a solid bet. Both Nick Pivetta and Trevor Williams have been profitable, and they should match up well on Sunday. The Phillies are at home and should have some advantage. It wont surprise me if either team takes two of three, but there will not be a weekend sweep by either club.
New York Mets versus Atlanta Braves
In this NL East battle, the Mets come in “burning hot”, while the Braves are “average down”. New York holds a +22 to +12 advantage on the Power Ranking Indicator. The pitching match ups appear to favor the Mets, as well. Noah Syndergaard heads to the mound for the Mets on Friday versus Sean Newcomb for the Braves. Syndergaard has been a better bet at +167 versus -428 for Newcomb. Saturday’s game feature Jacob deGrom versus Julio Teheran. Both pitchers are on the positive side in terms of profit, however deGrom holds a large advantage. The Mets are undecided for Sunday, while Mike Foltynewicz goes for the Braves. Foltynewicz is a mediocre bet at -42. The Mets should take two of three, despite the Braves playing at home.
Chicago Cubs versus Colorado Rockies
Colorado comes in with a +19 to +13 advantage over the Cubs on the Power Ranking Indicator, however neither team has been playing stellar ball lately. The Rockies are “average up” on the Team Strength Oscillator, while the Cubs are “average down”. The pitching match ups don’t show much betting promise on either side, with just two of the six starters positive on the Pitcher Profit Oscillator. Yu Darvish is -1158 versus Jon Gray at -570 in Friday’s game. Saturday’s match up of Jose Quintana versus Tyler Anderson sees both pitchers nearly -600 on the Pitcher Profit Oscillator. On Sunday, Tyler Chatwood has been profitable for the Cubs at +314, nearly identical to German Marquez at +303 for the Rockies. The series is nearly a toss up, will go with the Rockies to win two of three at home.
Cleveland Indians versus Baltimore Orioles
Here’s a match up featuring teams heading in opposite directions. The Indians are “burning hot” on the Team Strength Oscillator versus “ice cold down” for the Orioles. Similarly, Baltimore holds a huge +27 to +5 advantage on the Power Ranking Indicator. Having said that, the Orioles starters this weekend have been much more profitable in general than the Indians hurlers. Friday’s match up has Alex Cobb for the Orioles at +872 versus Carlos Carrasco, who is at +139 on the Pitcher Profit Oscillator. Dylan Bundy goes on Saturday versus Trevor Bauer and although both as solid bets, Bundy has a larger profit number. In Sunday’s finale, Mike Clevinger is a better bet than Andrew Cashner. All told, the Orioles have a decent shot of taking two of three, once because of the pitcher’s profits and two, because of the home field advantage.
Houston Astros versus Chicago White Sox
Both teams are on a downward spiral. The Astros are “ice cold down” while the White Sox are “dead” on the Team Strength Oscillator. Houston holds a slim +8 to +5 edge on the Power Ranking Indicator. On Friday, Justin Verlander takes the mound for the Astros and he’s been a surprisingly poor bet at -1153. James Shields, somewhat equally surprising in the opposite direction, has been very profitable at +981. Saturday’s game features Dallas Keuchel for Houston versus Lucas Giolito for the White Sox. Both have been profitable, but a clear advantage goes to the Astros in this one. Sunday’s finale doesn’t favor either Lance McCullers Jr or Reynaldo Lopez, both with a nearly equal negative profit. Houston is the better overall team and should take two of three.
Boston Red Sox versus Oakland A’s
Boston comes in with advantages on both the Team Strength Oscillator and Power Ranking Indicator. They are “burning hot” and +26 versus “ice cold up” and +10. On the mound, only one the scheduled six starters between the teams has been profitable. Having said that, Chris Sale versus Sean Manaea on Saturday and David Price versus Daniel Mangen on Sunday favors the Red Sox. Friday’s match up has Drew Pomeranz at -1087 versus Kendall Graveman at -457. Both are extremely poor bets, but will give the nod to Oakland. I think the Red Sox can take two of three on the road this weekend.
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