As the MLB season has nearly reached the All-Star break, the races are heating up. Here’s some of the top match ups for the weekend of July 6 – 8. Note that all information is for games played through July 3.
Oakland A’s versus Cleveland Indians
The A’s come in third in the AL West but are one of the hottest teams in the league, while the Indians are the only team above .500 in the weak AL Central. The A’s hold a +27 to +17 advantage on the Power Ranking Indicator and “burning hot” versus “ice cold up” status on the Team Strength Oscillator. Neither team is in the top 10 or bottom 10 on the Team Volatility Oscillator. None of Cleveland’s scheduled starters (Carlos Carrasco, Mike Clevinger and Corey Kluber) are in the green on the Pitcher Profit Oscillator. Edwin Jackson, scheduled for the A’s on Saturday has been an extremely poor bet at -2806 in terms of pitcher profit. However, Paul Blackburn and Frankie Montas have been solid bets. Look for the A’s to take two of three in Cleveland this weekend.
Atlanta Braves versus Milwaukee Brewers
Both teams will try to hold narrow leads in their divisions. Atlanta comes in winners of six of their last ten and are “burning hot” on the Team Strength Oscillator and +25 on the Power Ranking Indicator. Milwaukee is 5-5 over their last ten and are “average down” and +19. The Braves are the second most unstable team according to the Team Volatility Oscillator, so ignore favorite/underdog status when considering betting on them. In terms of the Pitcher Profit Oscillator, Animal Sanchez is the worst bet of the weekend. He goes for the Braves on Saturday and is -2191. All three Milwaukee starters (Freddy Peralta, Brent Suter and Junior Guerra) have been good bets and are favorites this weekend. While a sweep is unlikely, a two-to-one series win for the Brewers is looking like a strong possibility.
Los Angeles Dodgers versus Los Angeles Angels
The battle in Los Angeles has two teams heading in opposite directions. The Angels are 2-8 over their last ten, are “average up” on the Team Strength Oscillator and +12 on the Power Ranking Indicator. On the flip side, the Dodgers are just 1 1/2 games out in the NL West and are +16 on the Power Ranking Indicator. Tied for the second most unstable team in the league, betting on the Dodgers goes beyond favorite/underdog status. Interestingly enough, five of the six scheduled starters in this series are in the red on the Pitcher Profit Oscillator. On Felix Pena, going for the Angels on Saturday is in the green at +37. The Dodgers are above .500 on the road and the Angels are sub .500 at home. Give the edge to the Dodgers in a two-to-one series win.
Philadelphia Phillies versus Pittsburgh Pirates
In this cross-state rivalry, the Phillies look to chase down the Braves in the NL East, while the Pirates are in fourth in the NL Central. Philadelphia holds a +19 to +13 advantage on the Power Ranking Indicator and 6-4 over their last ten compared to 4-6 for Pittsburgh. In Friday’s opener, Nick Pivetta for the Phillies has been a better bet than Trevor Williams. Saturday’s match up is nearly even in terms of pitcher profit, as both Jake Arrieta and Jameson Taillon (+878 to +861) have been profitable. Zach Eflin has been one of the hottest pitchers in the NL and is at +491 on the Pitcher Profit Oscillator. The Pirates are undecided for Sunday’s finale. The Phillies will win two this weekend and keep the pressure on the Braves.
Texas Rangers versus Detroit Tigers
Although the Rangers have won six of their last ten, they still bring up the rear in the AL West. The Tigers have struggled at 2-8 during the same period and are 10 1/2 games out in the AL Central. Texas is “burning hot” on the Power Ranking Indicator and +10 on the Team Strength Oscillator, while the Tigers are “dead up” and +6. Detroit is the 9th most unstable team in the league. On the other hand, Texas is much more consistently performing according to their favorite/underdog status, tenth most stable team in the league. All six scheduled starters are in the green in terms of profit, with slight edges doing to Bartolo Colon over Jordan Zimmerman on Friday and Cole Hamels over Mike Fiers on Saturday. Detroit has the edge on Sunday with Michael Fulmer over Austin Bibens Dirks. Texas will walk out of Detroit Sunday with a series win.
San Diego Padres versus Arizona Diamondbacks
In this NL West series, the last place Padres look to take down the first place Diamondbacks. Arizona has a +18 to +6 advantage on the Power Ranking Indicator and “average down” versus “ice cold up” on the Team Strength Oscillator. Arizona has not particularly performed according to their favorite/underdog status, tied for eighth most unstable team. On the other hand, San Diego is tenth in Team Volatility. Tyson Ross is on the mound for the Padres on Friday, opposed by Zack Godley for Arizona. Godley has a +1230 to -237 advantage in terms of the Pitcher Profit Oscillator. San Diego is undecided for Saturday, while Robbie Ray, who has been a poor bet at -1451, goes fo the DIamondbacks. Arizona has a huge advantage in the finale, as Zack Greinke goes against Clayton Richard. Arizona could come away with a sweep, but two wins is most likely.
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